A deep analysis of Bitcoin's historical trends reveals a compelling cyclical pattern. Each complete bull and bear cycle exhibits remarkable consistency, with the time span from bottom to peak being approximately 884 days. This pattern has been validated in the past two cycles.

The first cycle began at the low point in January 2015 and culminated at the peak in December 2017. The subsequent second cycle started in January 2019 and reached its peak in November 2021. Both cycles lasted nearly 884 days, and this remarkable repeatability provides valuable insights for market analysis.

Based on this pattern, we can make some speculations about the current cycle. If we assume that the low point of around 15,000 dollars for Bitcoin in October 2022 marks the beginning of a new cycle, then according to the 884-day cycle rule, we might see a new bull market peak forming between August and October 2025.

Furthermore, historical data shows that the interval between every two bull market bottoms is about 1450 days. If this pattern continues, the next bear market bottom may occur around November 2026.

However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is influenced by various factors, including technological advancements, changes in the regulatory environment, and the global economic situation. Therefore, while historical patterns provide us with a valuable reference framework, investors must remain cautious, closely monitor market dynamics, and make judgments based on multiple factors.

As the Ethereum ecosystem continues to evolve and with potential changes in Federal Reserve policy, the future trend of Bitcoin may experience new variables. Closely monitoring these factors is crucial for understanding and predicting market direction.