Kaito Ranking Token Ecosystem: Market Performance Analysis After TGE

Kaito Ranking Project Launch Effect Analysis: How is the market performance after TGE?

The crypto market has long been driven by narratives. In 2025, a new attention-grabbing mechanism came into focus: the Kaito leaderboard. These incentive activities reward early researchers, commentators, and meme creators for generating buzz before a project launch, in exchange for future token allocations.

The operating model is as follows:

  • Reward early user awareness
  • Fabricating stories
  • Create demand before the token generation event (TGE)

This method is indeed effective. Leaderboards can enhance visibility, trading volume, and social recognition. But the question is: can this attention be sustained?

Once token issuance and airdrops are claimed, active players will turn to the next token issuance. Prices drop, trading volume shrinks, and participation gradually declines.

This article analyzes several Kaito-related projects, including $SKATE, $HUMA, $QUAI, and $SOON, exploring whether this hype can be sustained after the tokens go live. A trend is emerging: narrative design is intended to generate attention rather than maintain heat.

Skate: High trading volume, large number of listings, and stagnation after Kaito

$SKATE is a token related to the modular game layer of Solana, which had strong momentum at launch. With the support of well-known exchanges and the in-depth promotion of the Kaito event, SKATE had sufficient liquidity and high visibility at the time of its launch.

  • TGE: June 10, 2025
  • Issue Price (Opening Price): $0.06506
  • First day closing price: $0.05094
  • First day trading volume: 41.46 million USD
  • Initial FDV: approximately $65 million
  • Current Price (July 7): 0.04065 USD
  • Current FDV: approximately 40.65 million USD
  • Decline after TGE: approximately 37.5%
  • Current 24-hour trading volume: 8.46 million USD
  • Trading Volume/MC Ratio (July 7): Approximately 139%

The early trading of SKATE showed a good start. On June 10th, the token's attention surged sharply, with the price briefly soaring to $0.06539, but then quickly retracing to around $0.05094, resulting in an approximate 22% pullback on the first day.

Subsequently, similar trends were observed when other projects went live:

  • Mid-June: Supported by post-listing momentum, the price rebounded to $0.051 to $0.048 (from June 11 to 16).
  • June 21 to 23: Trading volume fluctuated significantly (daily trading volume around 110 million USD), but there was a lack of strong directional movement.
  • From June 30 to July 4: There was a brief fluctuation, soaring to $0.06234, and then quickly falling.
  • From July 5 to July 7: The price fell to $0.04065, a decrease of about 37% since the TGE, and a drop of about 22% since the peak on July 4.

Social media buzz also peaked early but then quickly declined. Within 7 to 10 days after launch, contributors shifted their attention to new leaderboard projects and token activities, resulting in a significant decrease in mentions and engagement.

Summary: Rotation is greater than retention

SKATE has all the favorable conditions: listed on major exchanges, high liquidity, and a reward-oriented ecological narrative. However, the attention on SKATE has not sustained. Despite SKATE's daily trading volume being close to 140% of its market capitalization, SKATE remains a high turnover asset with no long-term holders.

The story of SKATE is similar to that of other tokens:

  • Hype before launch
  • Immediately boost trading volume after going live
  • Airdrop Claim and Quick Exit
  • Narrative exhaustion within a few weeks

The market performance of SKATE further confirms the criticisms raised against such projects: high exposure, low user retention.

Kaito ranks as a "magic tool" for project launches, but what will happen after the TGE?

Huma: Launchpool hype, 0.5% rewards, first day turnover reached $300 million

Huma is a decentralized payment financing protocol (PayFi), which utilizes a complete technology stack and will issue its native token HUMA on May 26, 2025.

A certain trading platform's Launchpool activity allows users to mine HUMA by staking assets from May 23 to May 26. At the same time, Huma is also conducting a leaderboard activity, distributing 0.5% of the total supply across three "Seasons."

First quarter allocation situation:

  • 0.1% allocated to the top 500 participants
  • 0.1% allocated to contributors in the Solana, DeFi, and RWA categories
  • Distribution to registered SOL wallet users and holders of ecosystem tokens

A trading platform will start trading on May 26 at 21:00 (UTC+8). As of May 27:

  • TGE (Opening Price): 0.06683 USD
  • Day 1 closing price: 0.05936 USD
  • Opening Retracement: Approximately 11.2%
  • First day's trading volume: $310.37 million
  • First day's market value: $1.0289 million
  • Current Price (July 7): $0.03083
  • Current Market Value: 53.44 million USD
  • FDV: $308.6 million
  • Trading volume/Market cap ratio (July 7): ~33%

Despite the popularity from Launchpool and the rankings, most of HUMA's trading is rotational trading. The first season's rewards can be claimed from day one, and the second season has also been announced, which has led to increased selling pressure rather than long-term holding.

After briefly stabilizing at around $0.05 in early June, the price continued to decline over the next month, dropping by 40% from June 9 to July 7. This trend reflects not only profit-taking but also a lack of sustained demand. The daily trading volume shrank by more than 90% from its peak on the first day, while the gap between FDV ($308 million) and the actual market value ($53 million) continued to widen, further reinforcing the market's view that much of HUMA's appeal is driven by activity rather than the product itself.

Summary: HUMA exhibits a typical pattern: impressive data, substantial liquidity, but lacks lasting appeal. Its launch aims to enhance visibility rather than garner steadfast support, and due to the lack of practicality and demand post-launch, early attention comes quickly and fades just as fast.

Kaito ranking becomes a project launch "artifact", but what will happen after TGE?

Quai: Large-scale distribution, deep integration, strong launch... then fades into silence

Quai is a decentralized multi-threaded blockchain protocol that has launched the most generous and deeply integrated leaderboard activity to date. From January 17, 2025, to April 17, 2025, the project has allocated a total of 6 million $QUAI tokens to reward content contributors:

  • 5.5 million QUAI for the leaderboard
  • 500,000 QUAI for the Quai exclusive leaderboard

From April 29 to May 12, users can claim on the platform. Weekly snapshots track contributors, among which the top yappers received up to 5.95% of the personal recognition share, much higher than SKATE or HUMA.

Although the Quai mainnet was launched on January 29, the token could only be freely traded after the exchange data was released on February 22.

QUAI first day performance (February 22, 2025):

  • Opening price: $0.09884
  • Highest Price: $0.2263
  • Closing price: 0.1929 USD
  • Trading Volume: $10.14 million

Subsequent trends: rotation, reversal, and a long cooling period.

QUAI is one of the most striking new projects among its tokens. Its price surged from $0.09884 to $0.2263 during the trading session, an increase of 129%, and finally closed at $0.1929, a rise of 95%.

But this is already the peak.

In the coming weeks:

  • From February 23 to 26: The price quickly dropped to about $0.17 to $0.18.
  • From March 1 to 15: Prices continued to decline to the range of $0.12 to $0.08, reflecting the normal performance of capital rotation after speculation.
  • April to May: Despite several attempts at minor rebounds, the support strength gradually weakened.
  • June to July: The price range of the token was between $0.06 and $0.07. As of July 7, the trading price was $0.05266, which is approximately a 73% drop from the closing price and about a 76.7% drop from the highest price.

The trading volume also indicates the situation:

  • From the initial 10 million USD on the first day to the current approximately 3 million USD, indicating a sharp decline in activity.
  • Even the rewards in the second phase did not significantly boost the demand after the TGE.

Summary: QUAI has many advantages: a large distribution, strong brand influence, a highly anticipated TGE, and a strong early price trend. However, attention is quickly shifting. Even top yapper has not been able to sustain interest in the secondary market.

The current trading price of QUAI has fallen below the issuance price and has not seen a significant rebound since March, which fully demonstrates that early liquidity does not equate to lasting confidence.

Kaito Ranking is a "tool" for project launch, but what will happen after TGE?

Soon: Integration, a certain platform's popularity, and real-world validation

Soon, a high-performance Solana Optimistic Network (SVM-based rollup), hosted one of the most structured and community-cohesive leaderboard events at the beginning of 2025. During the 3-month activity period, the project allocated 450,000 SOON tokens (approximately 0.045% of the total supply) to the top 100 yapper.

  • Event Date: February 19, 2025 - May 19, 2025
  • Claim Period: May 23, 2025 to June 23, 2025
  • Eligibility: Leaderboard Contributors, Early NFT Holders, Badge Owners of Builders

This event is not just a reward airdrop, but also integrates the brand image of SOON. Participating users will receive the "Sooner" role, badges, and social status, which reinforces that yappers are the key force in the early dissemination of SOON.

TGE and Market Release: From Hot Discussions to Soaring Popularity

The SOON token was issued on May 23 and listed on a certain platform on May 24. The opening price of the token was $0.4527, briefly reaching $0.4776, and the closing price for the day was $0.4007. The trading volume on the first day exceeded $103 million, reflecting a significant amount of speculative activity and the amplification effect of the exchange.

Some market indicators (as of July 7, 2025):

  • TGE Date: May 23, 2025
  • Opening price on the first day: $0.4527
  • First day closing price: $0.4007
  • First day trading volume: $103.1 million
  • Current price: $0.1529
  • Market Cap: Approximately 26.9 million USD
  • Opening drawdown: approximately 66.2%
  • Maximum Drawdown: Approximately 68.0%
  • Trading Volume/Market Cap Ratio (July 7): Approximately 97%

What happened after the first day?

After the initial excitement, SOON has entered the now-familiar post-ranking era curve:

  • Late May to mid-June: SOON remains in the range of $0.29 to $0.39, with little fluctuation and a slow decline.
  • Late June: Support level broke below $0.25, with increased trading volume from June 27 to 30, showing an accelerated downtrend.
  • July 5 to 7: SOON plummeted by 40% within 48 hours, from $0.22 to $0.13, and then rebounded slightly to $0.15.

The recent crash coincided with the end of the claiming period (June 23), after which many recipients may have sold theirs, and attention turned to other activities.

Summary: The earlier you sell, the better?

SOON has all the elements necessary for a successful launch: strong infrastructure promotion, exposure on a certain platform, and community incentive mechanisms. However, the token has dropped 66% within six weeks, indicating that the hype has not translated into solid support.

The ranking model has become predictable:

Narrative-driven airdrop → High trading volume on the first day → Rapid airdrop rotation → Price declines as attention shifts.

Although SOON is true

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GweiTooHighvip
· 9h ago
That's enough, right?
View OriginalReply0
ChainComedianvip
· 9h ago
Is that it? Play people for suckers and run away.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketSurvivorvip
· 9h ago
Typical market rules: front-line troops concentrated, collapse as soon as they withdraw.
View OriginalReply0
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