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Tonight at 22:00, Fed Chairman Powell will deliver an important speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting, and this speech may have a profound impact on the Crypto Assets market. Market participants are closely watching three key signals that could trigger a new round of Bitcoin activity.
First, the possibility of an interest rate cut in September has sparked heated discussions. Although the market generally expects the Fed to cut rates in September, recent inflation data and officials' statements have shaken this expectation. If Powell clearly conveys a signal for a rate cut, it will bring double benefits to Bitcoin: a low-interest-rate environment may drive funds towards high-risk assets, while a weaker dollar may reinforce Bitcoin's "digital gold" attributes.
Secondly, the Fed's policy framework may change. Powell may consider adjusting the current "average inflation targeting" regime, which could potentially impact long-term interest rates and, in turn, affect the Crypto Assets market.
Finally, political factors are also at play. There are views that if interest rates are not cut in September, it may trigger political pressure and even affect the Fed's independence. This political game is translating into optimistic sentiment in the Crypto Assets market, with some investors believing that the more the Fed resists cutting rates, the more the "anti-fiat" value of Bitcoin will stand out.
For investors, in the short term, they should follow keywords such as "interest rate cuts", "inflation targets", and "independence", as these factors may affect the trends of mainstream Crypto Assets. Long-term investors need to pay attention to the impact of the policy framework on long-term interest rates. At the same time, investors should also be wary of market behavior of "buying on expectations and selling on facts" and set take-profit and stop-loss orders in a timely manner.
At this critical moment, Crypto Assets have become an important part of the global financial game. Every word from Powell may be amplified and interpreted by the market, and investors need to stay alert and be prepared for potential market fluctuations.