Fubon Guardians' performance washed away the bottom: Why is the odds difference between Taiwan Sports Lottery and Blockchain Web3 so large?

From the professional baseball Fubon titan, this season's Dark Lamp team to discuss the odds, of course, we are comparing the Web3 platform. (Synopsis: The crypto prediction market has achieved the decentralization of the game, and the development prospects and risks are analyzed) (Background supplement: Polymarket's "number of predicted events in a single month" has reached a record high, suggesting that the airdrop is ready to come? If you are a professional baseball fan, when it comes to the performance of our Fubang Titan this year (2025), is it the same as me, the fists are hardened? High blood pressure? As of May 16, with a record of 8 wins and 22 defeats, with a win rate of only 0.267, it is firmly in the top six teams of Chinese professional baseball, this script seems a little familiar..? The helplessness and anger of the fans can be seen from the various instructions to head coach Chen Jinfeng on the Internet, and even the "reaction aid" behavior in the stadium. In the midst of the "blue melancholy", how does the traditional Taiwan lottery view this "dark lantern" team? Does the emerging Web3 gaming platform provide different perspectives or money prospects for discerning players? It's not just a matter of winning or losing on the books, it's a game of information, risk and opportunity behind the odds numbers. In this article, we will delve into how Fubon Titan's dismal record is reflected in the odds of Taiwan's lottery, and compare the odds differences and different gaming experiences that players may face on Web3 gaming platforms with more information circulation and more diversified mechanisms. The blue melancholy of the titan Fubon Titan will perform "steadily" in the 2025 season, which really impressed the majority of fans. As of May 16, 2025, the team has only won 8 games and swallowed 22 defeats, with a low win rate of only 0.267, ranking last in the league and a 10.5-game win gap with joint leaders Wei Quanlong and Unified 7-ELEVEn Lions. The recent situation has been even more miserable, with only 2 wins and 8 losses in the last 10 games, and is currently in a losing streak. What's more, the recent seven-game losing streak at home has set the most disgraceful record in team history, and it's no wonder fans jokingly call it a "stable performance". The data doesn't lie, in addition to the bleak win rate, the difference between gains and losses is even more shocking. According to the data, in the 30 games this season, the Titans scored a total of 80 points, but the total number of points conceded was as high as 152 points, and this offensive and defensive imbalance is reflected in the record is also an inevitable result. The team's overall lack of batting firepower, or the lack of pitcher suppression, may be the reason for this dilemma. This continuous sluggish performance not only makes fans lose confidence, but even on online communities such as PTT, there is also the so-called "comfortable text" phenomenon, fans to tout the opponent team, hoping to use this "anti-indicator" to affect the mentality of the game, which also indirectly reflects the extreme helplessness of their own team's performance. This long-term sluggish record can easily form an "anchoring effect" in the game market. That is, as the Titans continue to lose, the expectations of the market (both bookmakers and general players) have been "anchored" at an extremely low level. Even if a team occasionally performs beyond expectations, such as a upset win, it is difficult to reverse this entrenched negative impression in the short term. When gambling companies formulate odds, they will naturally take into account this long-term accumulated weak image, which also directly affects their value in the gambling market. Taiwan Fortune Lottery Plays "Conservative Card" Fubon Titan Odds In the face of such a "stable" bottom performance of Fubon Titan, Taiwan Fortune Lottery will gradually regard it as a significantly weak team at the open. Usually, the lottery will significantly lower the "win-win" odds of the opponent, and vice versa, give the trolls a very high odds of a win-to-win situation. However, such ultra-high odds often lack the actual appeal of betting because the odds are too low. Therefore, it is more common for the lottery to make a big fuss on the "handicap market" to balance the betting enthusiasm of both sides by giving the titans more handicap points. Looking at the historical market of Taiwan's lottery, you can see many interesting examples. For example, in a match on May 14, Fubon Titan will be given 1.5 points at odds of 1.56. In the other match, Fubon also received 1.5 points at odds of 1.46. More extremely, in a match against CITIC Brothers a month ago, Yuncai even opened a rare market with "Fubon concession of 2.5 points, odds of 1.65", this extreme handicap value fully reflects the high distrust of the bookmaker for the titan. Even with such a large score advantage, the odds are not particularly attractive, indicating that the market generally believes that even if the Titans are given 2.5 points, the odds of winning the market are not very stable. Sometimes, when the opponent is strong, the odds of a solo win may be as low as 1.43, while the odds of a solo win of a titan can be as high as 2.10, and the odds of a handicap (1.5 points for Fubon) are only around 1.62. It is worth noting that Taiwan Lottery may sometimes not open "single betting" for certain events with large power gaps, especially those involving teams with long-term poor records, but include them in the "cross-play combination". As the only legal sports gaming institution in China, Taiwan's odds formulation may not only consider the strength of the team, but also imply the "protection" of the local market and a strong risk aversion strategy. After all, part of the surplus needs to be invested in the Sports Development Fund, which makes it operate with a certain public welfare color, and the risk tolerance may be different from that of a purely business-oriented international gaming platform. In recent years, with the rise of blockchain technology, Web3 gaming platforms have sprung up, and they have attracted more and more players who pursue novel experiences and better betting conditions with their decentralization, high transparency, and global operations (note that they are still non-compliant in many countries). These platforms often utilize cryptocurrencies for transactions, emphasizing the fairness of the game, and some even incorporate innovative elements such as NFTs . However, frankly speaking, it is not easy to find real-time and complete odds data for the Chinese professional baseball Fubon Titans directly on the mainstream Web3 gaming platform. Such platforms usually prioritize coverage of major global competitions such as MLB, NBA or major European football leagues. Nevertheless, some large Web3 platforms such as BC.Game have begun to offer Asian professional baseball markets such as Japan's NPB and South Korea's KBO, which also provides imagination for future CPBL events. Assuming that such platforms launch CPBL markets, the opening odds for Fubon Titan's recent fixtures may be: 1.04, while the opponent team usually opens between 1.6-1.7 (American odds). B.C Game's interface is more intuitive than Taiwan Lottery So why may the odds on the Web3 platform be different from those on the Taiwan lottery? The main reasons may come from the following: First, Web3 platforms are generally less expensive to operate. Due to its high degree of automation and the removal of many intermediate links in the traditional game industry chain, the platform has more space to provide more competitive odds, which is commonly known as "less margin" or "high return rate" by players. Second, the Web3 platform is aimed at global users, with a broader pool of funds and a more diverse player base. This makes the propensity to bet on a single region or a single event have a relatively small impact on the overall odds, the risk is more distributed, and the odds setting may be closer to pure statistical model predictions. In addition, different Web3 platforms may use their own unique data analysis models and algorithms to set odds, in an effort to provide the most accurate pricing in the fierce market competition. Although the international attention of Chinese professional baseball is not as high as that of MLB or NPB, it still has its unique fan base and market potential in the Asian region. For Web3 in pursuit of market diversification and emerging betting targets...

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The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
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