Altcoin Season Delayed — Is Bitcoin's Dominance "Killing" the Party?

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Although Bitcoin has broken the 100,000 USD mark at the beginning of 2025 and is in a strong upward trend, many investors are still waiting for an important event that has not occurred: the Altcoin Season (Altcoin Season). According to the Altcoin Season Index from BlockchainCenter, the current index is only at 20 — very low compared to the threshold of 75 needed to confirm that a "real altcoin season" has actually begun. The Altcoin Season is Still Absent Despite the Market's Growth Analyst Michaël van de Poppe recently shared his views on the social media platform X, responding to the most frequently asked question in the cryptocurrency industry: "When is altseason?" According to van de Poppe, this market cycle is developing very differently compared to previous cycles. While Bitcoin continues to rise to the sky, most altcoins are still lagging behind. This raises the question: Is there really going to be an altcoin season in this cycle or not? In the past, after Bitcoin rose to the sky, altcoins usually followed within a few weeks or months. But 2024 and early 2025 did not happen that way. Many investors hoping for the old cycle pattern to repeat are gradually losing patience. From late 2021 until now, the cryptocurrency market has largely been controlled and lacks momentum, except for a few short waves from meme coins at the end of 2024. Van de Poppe also emphasized that many old coins that were prominent during the 2021 cycle are now losing their appeal and gradually depreciating in this cycle. This breaks the traditional 4-year cycle model and forces investors to consider more macro and technical factors when making decisions. The Dominance of Bitcoin and Market Sentiment is "Restraining" Altcoin One of the main reasons why the altcoin season has not arrived yet is due to Bitcoin's dominance. Currently, the Altcoin Season Index remains below the 25 threshold — a clear indication that we are in the "Bitcoin Season," not the "Altcoin Season." Van de Poppe believes that this is closely related to price behavior and macro factors such as the central bank's monetary policy and interest rates. If the Federal Reserve of the United States (Fed) begins to lower interest rates from the current 4%, it could further drive Bitcoin prices up. However, it could also be a catalyst that triggers the flow of money into altcoins after Bitcoin reaches its growth peak. Opportunities for Patient Investors According to van de Poppe, the best time to invest in altcoin is right now — when the altcoin season has not yet started. This is when the coins are still undervalued and have not attracted attention from the market. Long-term and patient investors will be the ones to benefit the most when the "altcoin season" truly takes off. 🧠 In summary: Although Bitcoin is leading the market, the altseason is still being delayed. Patience, understanding the cycle, and monitoring dominance indicators such as the Altcoin Season Index can help investors seize opportunities early before the capital flows strongly into altcoin.

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The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
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