B2BinPay CEO: Four Predictions for the Stablecoin Market in 2025

Author: Arthur Azizov, CEO of B2BinPay, CoinTelegraph; Translated by: Bai Shui, Golden Finance

The stablecoin market will conclude in 2024 and achieve remarkable developmental accomplishments. What should we expect in 2025?

Before looking to the future, we must examine what we have left behind.

The Stablecoin Market in 2024

In 2024, the trend of previous years continues. Major issuers like Tether and Circle have attempted to create stablecoins pegged to currencies other than the US dollar, but adoption has been slow. Euro-backed stablecoins remain a relatively low-market-cap niche product, and even major players are struggling.

The market has shown a clear preference for Tether's USDT and Circle's USD Coin, with few willing to try something new. This hesitation may be due to the shadow of past collapses, such as the crash of Terraform Labs and its stablecoin TerraUSD (UST) in 2022. This crash shook people's trust in algorithmic and decentralized stablecoins, and although they still have supporters, their market share remains small compared to USDT and USDC.

Overall, 2024 is very positive for the crypto world. Bitcoin has soared to $100,000, regulatory frameworks are being developed globally, and traditional financial institutions have begun to enter the market. The total issuance of stablecoins continues to grow and set new records. In Singapore, the value of stablecoin payments has reached $1 billion, and its usage globally is expected to continue to rise.

Looking ahead, here are four predictions for the stablecoin market in 2025.

Regulated Stablecoin Increase

In 2025, we may see financial institutions issuing more stablecoins. Tether has already proven the profitability of this model, netting 5.2 billion dollars in the first half of 2024 after depositing reserves into U.S. Treasury bonds.

The strategy is as follows: 1) Launch a regulated stablecoin, 2) Negotiate with well-known exchanges to promote it, 3) Obtain stable returns through investments in fiat reserves. To attract customers, the exchange waived the commission on the stablecoin. This formula is too attractive for traditional financial giants to ignore.

Bank Involved Custody Services

The EU Crypto Asset Market (MiCA) regulation will be fully implemented in January 2025, which will become an important catalyst. MiCA requires stablecoin issuers to obtain licenses and provides a clear framework for financial institutions to enter the cryptocurrency market.

The clarity of this regulation will open doors for banks to provide custody services, which is crucial for integrating cryptocurrencies into the traditional financial system. Custody solutions enable banks to securely store digital assets on behalf of clients, serving institutional investors and cautious retail users.

Transformation of the European Market

Currently, there are concerns regarding Tether's USDT stablecoin. It dominates the market but lacks the licenses required for MiCA compliance, and there are rumors that exchanges are preparing to delist USDT for European users. If Tether fails to obtain the necessary licenses, it could potentially lose a significant market share in the region. Such a moment could open the door for regulated alternatives like USDC, which has already received approval in Europe.

The MiCA framework may encourage local participants to enter the market using euro-backed stablecoins, thereby creating more competition and potentially shifting market dynamics away from dollar-centric options.

Stablecoins Pegged to Local Currencies

Another trend to watch in 2025 is the growth of stablecoins pegged to local currencies. In 2024, the Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates approved the launch of the Dirham-backed stablecoin AE Coin, which is said to be the first stablecoin regulated by the central bank.

As countries increasingly seek economic digitalization, local stablecoins will be integrated into local banking systems.

Outlook for the Stablecoin Sector in 2025

The overall development trajectory of stablecoins is promising. By 2025, the stablecoin market will not only grow but also mature.

Clearer regulations, new entrants, and broader adoption will transform stablecoins from niche financial instruments into mainstream asset classes. Stablecoins will provide faster, cheaper, and more inclusive financial services, integrated with traditional finance.

The widespread adoption of stablecoins will begin in 2025. Prior to that, with MiCA landing in Europe and the election of President Donald Trump in the United States, more new players are about to enter the market. The market is also anticipating new, more friendly laws regarding cryptocurrencies.

The total market capitalization of USDT and USDC may double or even triple, and the overall market size is expected to grow. Localized stablecoins will also play an increasingly important role, which could challenge the dominance of the US dollar and diversify the market.