2025/7/3 #XRP# $XRP Current trend assessment: oscillating upward trend (but beware of short-term pullback risks)

Core Indicator Analysis:
1. Moving Average System (EMA):
The fast line (ema_fast=2.205) has crossed above the slow line (ema_slow=2.195) and continues to maintain a bullish alignment.
The latest K-line closing price (2.2372) stands firmly above the double EMA, indicating a strong medium-term trend.
2. MACD Indicator:
The histogram (macd_histogram) has 4 consecutive bullish bars (0.000768→0.001770→0.002445)
DIF (0.012957) and DEA (0.010512) are diverging upwards synchronously, but the small difference indicates that momentum has not yet been fully released.
3. Trading Volume Characteristics:
Recently, there have been two instances of increased volume (196 rows 143M and 185 rows 124M) accompanied by a price increase, validating the effectiveness of the breakout.
The latest K-line volume has sharply decreased (only 7M), so we need to be cautious about insufficient momentum for chasing highs.
4. RSI Series Indicators:
RSI (56.23) is in the neutral to strong range of 50-70.
StochRSI shows a top divergence: the K value (53.56) is below the previous high (61.43), but the price has reached a new high.
Key reversal signal:
Bullish Advantage:
After the price broke through the previous high of 2.2917, it pulled back to 2.2243 without breaking the previous high.
After the MACD golden cross, there has been a continuous moderate increase in volume.
Short-selling risk:
StochRSI dual lines (K=53.56/D=42.25) pull back from the overbought zone
Recently, the last three candlesticks show a "lower high" (2.2917 → 2.2667 → 2.2380)
Operation Suggestions:
1. Short-term (4-8 hours):
If the support at 2.224 holds, you can take a small position to go long.
If it falls below 2.195 (EMA slow line), it may pull back to the 2.16-2.18 range.
2. Medium term (1-3 days):
A valid breakout above 2.2917 will confirm a new round of upward movement.
If it loses 2.195, it may turn into a range oscillation (2.10-2.25).
Key observations needed:
Price direction choice at the next volume increase
Can the MACD histogram continue to expand?
Will the StochRSI fall below the 50 midline?
The current market is at a critical decision point, and it is recommended to wait for clearer trend signals before increasing positions.