Bitcoin breaks through 86,000; Fed officials' talks, inflation, and tariffs converge this Wednesday, potential fluctuation highlights summarized.

Bitcoin briefly topped $86,000 this morning, and this week the U.S. stock market will face three major variables, including statements by Federal Reserve officials, the release of important economic data, and the release of corporate earnings, which may bring volatility to the market. (Synopsis: Bloomberg revealed: The U.S. Treasury Department skipped the way Congress increased its holdings of BTC, but the probability of buying bitcoin this year is only about 30%) (Background supplement: Putin agreed to a ceasefire in Ukraine but conditionally, Trump's tariffs killed U.S. stocks again, and bitcoin once lost $80,000 and rebounded) At the beginning of this week, or inspired by the news that the White House intends to use gold to buy bitcoin, BTC once rushed to $86,639 at about 88 a.m. today (24), and fell slightly before the deadline, now at $85,879. It is impossible to confirm whether this is true, but if the Trump administration really wants to buy bitcoin with gold, it must also need to go through a series of negotiations between the government and the public, and the progress should not be so fast. Let's take a look at the three major potential factors for volatility that the U.S. stock market will face this week to grasp the market pulse. Analyze the key points of investment attention in the coming week The three variables are: the US Federal Reserve (Fed) official talks, the release of important economic data, and the release of corporate earnings. Together, these factors will weave the likely direction of U.S. stocks this week, and will most likely affect the cryptocurrency market. Fed officials' stance blows market nerves First, the market will be closely watching Fed officials' views on the economy, employment, inflation, interest rates and tariffs (three officials are expected to make comments this week). As the Fed has kept interest rates unchanged for a long time, officials' comments will provide more clues about the future direction of monetary policy, especially on the inflation outlook and the timing of interest rate cuts this year. The Fed is now widely expected to start cutting rates later this year, but there is still uncertainty about the exact timing. If officials' rhetoric is hawkish, it could trigger a revision of interest rate cut expectations, which in turn will put pressure on stocks. According to the FedWatch tool, the market is now expecting a more than 70% chance of a June rate cut. In addition, Trump is expected to announce reciprocal tariff measures on April 2, and people familiar with the matter revealed that this wave of tariffs will be aimed at clearer targets, rather than the same tariffs; Only countries that do not impose tariffs on U.S. products and have trade deficits are expected not to be subject to reciprocal tariffs. And this may trigger greater concerns about the resumption of the trade war. Fed officials' views on the topic of tariffs will also become the focus of market attention. A number of important economic data will also be released this week, including the final US gross domestic product (GDP) in the fourth quarter of last year, the final consumer confidence index of the University of Michigan in March, the core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index in February, durable goods orders, new home sales, and the S&P global manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) preliminary value. Among them, the most notable is the core PCE price index for February. As one of the Fed's focus on inflation indicators, changes in the core PCE price index will directly affect the Fed's monetary policy decisions. The consensus expectation is that the annual growth rate of the core PCE price index will slow slightly in February, but will remain above the Fed's 2% target. If the data is higher than expected, it may exacerbate market concerns about inflationary pressures, putting pressure on the stock market. Corporate earnings season debuts to review earnings performance Third, this week, US companies including sportswear brand Lululemon and discount retailer Dollar Tree will release earnings reports one after another. Investors will closely monitor the company's earnings performance and outlook for the future to assess how the company will operate in the current economic environment. While recession fears have cooled recently, the outlook for corporate earnings remains uncertain. According to FactSet, analysts expect S&P 500 corporate earnings growth to slow to 9.4% in 2025 from 10.9% last year. Related reports Zelensky: You can sign a "mineral agreement" at any time, what precious mineral rare earth resources does Ukraine have? Russian troops attack Ukraine at night! Trump threatened "sanctions + tariffs" to pressure Russia until a ceasefire and reconciliation Zelensky: Willing to follow Trump's strong leadership, Ukraine "can sign a mining agreement at any time" to return to the negotiating table Bitcoin's gold-to-gold ratio fell below the 12-year support line, fearing a backtest of $65,000... Is this bull market over? "Bitcoin breaks through 86,000 magnesium" Fed official talks, inflation, tariffs this Wednesday arrows in unison, potential volatility key collation" This article was first published in BlockTempo "Dynamic Trends - The Most Influential Blockchain News Media".

BTC2.62%
TRUMP6.2%
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