Analyst: The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is unlikely to fall below 4%.
Golden Finance reported that Daniel von Ahlen and Adrea Cicione from TS Lombard stated that the extra yield required by investors for holding longer-term U.S. Treasuries, known as the term premium, has not changed much recently. This stability suggests that the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries is unlikely to fall below 4%, as "if the risk premium does not experience a substantial compression, there is limited room for further yield declines." They said that the Federal Reserve is unlikely to lower interest rates below 3% in the next easing cycle, which will further support high yields.