- Topic
9k Popularity
66 Popularity
149 Popularity
29k Popularity
21k Popularity
32k Popularity
144k Popularity
18k Popularity
1790k Popularity
55k Popularity
- Pin
- 🎉 Gate xStocks Trading is Now Live! Spot, Futures, and Alpha Zone – All Open!
📝 Share your trading experience or screenshots on Gate Square to unlock $1,000 rewards!
🎁 5 top Square creators * $100 Futures Voucher
🎉 Share your post on X – Top 10 posts by views * extra $50
How to Participate:
1️⃣ Follow Gate_Square
2️⃣ Make an original post (at least 20 words) with #Gate xStocks Trading Share#
3️⃣ If you share on Twitter, submit post link here: https://www.gate.com/questionnaire/6854
Note: You may submit the form multiple times. More posts, higher chances to win!
📅 July 3, 7:00 – July 9,
- #GateSquareGiveaway# - Spot the Differences 👀
GM ☕ Our frog friend has two slightly different mornings—can you find all the changes?
💰 $10 Futures Voucher * 5 winners
To join:
🔹Follow Gate_Square
🔹Like this post and drop your answer in the comments
📅 Ends at 16:00 PM, July 7 (UTC)
- 🎉 Congratulations to the following users for winning in the #Gate CBO Kevin Lee# - 6/26 event!
KaRaDeNiZ, Sakura_3434, Anza01, asiftahsin, GateUser-d0654db3, milaluxury, Ryakpanda, 静.和, milaluxury, 币大亨1
💰 Each winner will receive $5 Points!
🎁 Rewards will be distributed within 14 working days. Please make sure to complete identity verification to be eligible.
📌 Event details: https://www.gate.com/post/status/11782130
🙏 Thank you all for your enthusiastic participation — more exciting events are on the way!
2025 Crypto Market Outlook: Four Major Scenario Predictions and Key Token Layouts
2025 Crypto Market Outlook: 4 Major Scenarios and 11 Predictions
Since the beginning of 2024, the crypto market has experienced a significant upward cycle. From the launch of a certain ETF product on January 10, to Bitcoin reaching an all-time high, and then the arrival of altcoin season, the market has entered a volatile second and third quarter of 2024. Bitcoin has successively broken through the $50,000 and $60,000 thresholds, and is currently hovering around $90,000.
It is worth noting that the altcoin market often starts when Bitcoin reaches a peak. The first wave was when Bitcoin was close to $69,000, although it did not manage to break through effectively; the next wave may come when Bitcoin hits $100,000.
It is expected that the next round of altcoin market will likely appear after Bitcoin stabilizes at $100,000, possibly occurring in the first quarter of 2025. However, the next few months could also replicate the situation in the second and third quarters of 2024. Here are four scenarios that may arise:
Scenario 1: Bitcoin and Altcoins Surge
The overall market is showing an upward trend in 2025, with Bitcoin continuing to rise, driving altcoins to rally, repeating the scenario of the past two months with a probability of 30-40%.
Strategy: Buy the dips of outstanding altcoins.
Scenario 2: Bitcoin rises, altcoins have limited gains
Similar to the trend in 2024, there will be significant fluctuations in the next few months, but the overall outlook is more bullish ( due to the rise of Bitcoin ); it is necessary to select high-quality tokens (50-60% probability ).
Strategy: Select high-quality altcoins to buy on dips. Avoid popular tracks and look for the next "get-rich coin."
Scenario 3: Bitcoin Rises, Altcoins Generally Decline
20-30% probability.
Strategy: Sell all altcoins. Reduce investment in altcoins; if there is no long-term increase, it may be necessary to liquidate completely.
Scenario 4: Bitcoin falls, altcoins generally decline
The market has peaked (10-20% probability ).
Due to favorable macroeconomic conditions, the new historical high for Bitcoin may not take as long to break through as it did in 2024. Last summer, a certain ETF product was just launched, and traditional financial institutions were still promoting the Bitcoin story to their clients. Most importantly, the outside world generally does not believe in the significance of Bitcoin.
The recent change in government has brought new attention to the digital asset space. The new leaders frequently talk about Bitcoin, making it much easier to persuade people to buy Bitcoin.
This regime change is extremely important. Therefore, Bitcoin will continue to remain strong in 2025. The situation with altcoins is similar, but with some differences.
The total market value of all altcoins reached a new high in the first quarter of 2024, the highest since 2021, and then peaked in the fourth quarter. It more or less follows the same pattern with little difference from the above scenarios 1 and 2.
The key lies in positioning and timing. While I am optimistic about 2025, it is uncertain how long it will take. The rise in 2025 may come earlier than in 2024, but without catalysts, altcoins could still drop significantly.
As long as the cycle has not ended, whether it is Bitcoin or altcoins, we should maintain a bullish stance. The situation of summer 2024 will not occur again in 2025. Although there may be a stable period like now, prices will still remain at a good level.
The situation on-chain is different; when the tide goes out, on-chain assets can easily see a 70% drop. It is expected that altcoins have not peaked at this time, as it is hard to imagine how Bitcoin would continue to rise when altcoins are "dying," nor can we see Bitcoin reaching its peak at this time.
Conclusion:
Risk Factors
( Cycle Top
We are currently far from the cycle top, but we need to reassess every week. The cycle top is not necessarily a single "event," but rather a range that gradually approaches over time.
) reserve plan risk
With the new leadership taking office, everyone will pay attention to their words and actions. Although there are positive developments for Bitcoin, it would be quite pessimistic to completely ignore the reserve plan. More likely, the reserve plan will be delayed or not implemented.
In the latter case: as long as it is favorable for Bitcoin, initially bearish but ultimately bullish.
Summary: Bullish signal = cycle continues. Bearish signal = need to revise plan. The cycle may continue, but the opportunity is low.
( supply risk
The summer of 2024 experienced a crazy macro environment, with the stock market hitting new highs repeatedly. However, due to large-scale sell-offs by certain institutions, the market failed to benefit and instead suffered a setback.
Supply risks can never be fully alleviated. There are always entities holding large amounts of Bitcoin—such as certain governments, certain organizations, etc. This requires close attention, but if everything goes smoothly, these events can present good buying opportunities during dips.
) macro risk
The expected rate cut is relatively small; although it is not very optimistic, as long as interest rates continue to decline, liquidity will improve. Similarly, bullish signals = the cycle continues. Unless there is a rate hike or no rate cut, the macro environment should be favorable for digital assets.
The bearish signal is that inflation is rising again, and it may be necessary to raise interest rates to control inflation.
Token Recommendations
1. AI
There have already been several waves. The next wave is expected to arrive soon. Buying and holding will not yield good results. A certain token has dropped 60% from its peak and may continue to perform poorly.
Preferred: Application Technology / Collective Intelligence / Games / Consumer-Centric AI
ALCH### game development ###, Griffain ### helps control wallet's agent ###, Digimon, Ai16z, etc. as the preferred.
( 2. DeFi
DeFi will continue to be an important narrative, but the investment difficulty is high, as there are few beneficiary tokens and the potential for price increases may be limited.
In terms of risk and return, DeFi is not the first choice.
Preferred: AAVE / ENA / Morpho / Euler / USUAL
Secondary options: stablecoins/payment-related tokens
) 3. L1
L1 may make a comeback. It is obvious that certain projects are involved. L1 itself is one of the overlooked areas, but it harbors huge opportunities (, such as certain projects growing tenfold ).
Preferred: SUI /某项目
Secondary Selection: Abstract
4. NFT tokens and game tokens
NFT tokens are worth paying attention to. A certain project is slowly recovering, another project has new tokens, and yet another project also has new tokens. It is expected that NFTs will not revive, but their tokens will return. Additionally, it is also interesting to look for intriguing games that will soon issue tokens.
Preferred: a project/some project ### some project (/a project/some project
Secondary selection: a certain project/certain project ) as token launch ###/certain project
( 5. Other Narratives
2025 Predictions in 11 Items
DePIN will be implemented by a certain company in a certain way, possibly through acquisition.
A certain trading platform will lose market share of the largest exchange. It is not from a certain platform, but from a certain platform/some platform.
With new advancements in VR, metaverse tokens are gaining new life.
ICOs are popular again.
The altcoin season on the ETH chain will not occur.
SUI reaches double digits ) with a minimum of 10 dollars (.
Ethereum ETF staking approved, giving rise to more yield products for staking other tokens, as well as yield aggregators.
A big-name artist uses NFTs and tokens to maintain fans and provide rewards.
Bitcoin reaches 200,000 USD.
More CEOs/founders of L1 institutions are leaving.
A certain L2 failed in its competition with L1, and another L1 took its place. A certain public chain continues to maintain its advantage.
![Year-End Series: 4 Scenarios and 11 Predictions for the 2025 Market Trend])https://img-cdn.gateio.im/webp-social/moments-c7157de9b3bb195812bc10c95d8d51b8.webp###