#May CPI Incoming#
This Wednesday, the U.S. will release May CPI data — a key test for rate cut expectations. Cleveland Fed forecasts 2.4% YoY CPI (up from 2.3%), with core CPI flat.
💬 If inflation beats expectations, will the Fed still cut in June? Will you stay on the sidelines or take early action?
#Tech Giants Eye Stablecoins#
Apple, Google, Airbnb, and X are in talks to integrate stablecoins into their payment systems, aiming to cut fees and streamline global payments. Following Circle’s IPO surge, stablecoins are quickly gaining traction across tech and finance.
💬 Could stablecoins be
Greeks.live: Super short-term OptionsIV reaches 70%, the IV of put Options is significantly higher
Odaily Planet Daily News, macro researcher Adam from Greeks.live posted an analysis on X platform, the Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced in three hours. Currently, according to the futures data, there is a 60% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut, and a 40% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. All markets are focusing on this. From the CryptocurrencyOptions data, it can be seen that there is also a huge market disparity now. The short-term Options IV is as high as 70%, and the IV of bearish Options is significantly higher. Looking at the distribution of Options transactions, the bearish BTC58000 and bearish ETH2200 transactions are the most intensive. Currently, the Options market is overall bearish on the interest rate meeting. 25 basis points are less than expected, and 50 basis points indicate a deterioration in economic indicators.