BTC has retraced again. Where is the promised Bull Market in 2025? · CCG Contract Quantitative Robot

Shanzhai coins fell together, and the cryptocurrency market is under pressure The decline of Bitcoin has led the entire cryptocurrency market to fall. ETH has fallen to $3300, SOL has fallen below $200, and other altcoins such as ADA and Aptos have also experienced significant declines. The U.S. stock market has also not been spared, with mining company stock prices generally declining, reflecting a general increase in market risk sentiment.

US macroeconomic data triggers market volatility The trigger for this decline is believed to be the release of macroeconomic data in the United States. The JOLTS job vacancy data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics significantly exceeded expectations, reaching a six-month high. It is widely believed in the market that the Federal Reserve may continue to maintain a hawkish policy, putting pressure on risk assets. At the same time, the growth of the ISM non-manufacturing PMI index in the United States has intensified market expectations for a Fed rate hike.

Trump's remarks exacerbate market uncertainty Trump's radical remarks have further exacerbated market risk aversion. Trump has proposed the possibility of declaring a "national economic emergency" and plans to impose hefty tariffs on allies and competitors, triggering concerns about the global economic outlook. Investors' worries about the global economic prospects have intensified market volatility.

The Silk Road incident intensifies market panic In addition, the US Department of Justice has been authorized to liquidate 69,370 bitcoins in the Silk Road case, and the market is concerned that the government's large-scale sell-off will further depress the price of bitcoin. Nevertheless, analysts believe that due to strong market liquidity, the impact of this sell-off on the market is limited. Even so, panic sentiment continues to spread, causing bitcoin to once again fall below $95,000.

Institutional funds support, market remains resilient Despite the market sentiment falling, institutional investors remain optimistic. Data shows that large holders began to increase their holdings when the price of Bitcoin fell, especially investors holding more than 10 BTC. Some institutions believe that the current pullback provides a buying opportunity, especially when there is panic in the market.

Market Outlook: Cautiously Optimistic Despite the possibility of more market volatility in the short term, the inflow of institutional funds and the bottom-fishing behavior of whales provide support for the market. The bottoming range of Bitcoin prices is still around $95,000, with a relatively small decline. The market focus will shift to the upcoming release of the US December non-farm payroll report, which will directly impact the policy decisions of the Federal Reserve and determine the subsequent market trend. Overall, although the market sentiment has declined, the crypto market is unlikely to experience a crash scenario with the support of institutional funds.

What should ordinary people do? 【No investment and financial advice, there are risks in the cryptocurrency market, investment requires careful consideration!】

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